SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 90.1%. A draw had a probability of 7.5% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 2.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.38%) and 4-0 (11.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.51%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (1.08%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | University College Dublin |
90.1% ( -0.74) | 7.46% ( 0.53) | 2.43% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 33.33% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.01% ( -1.5) | 28.98% ( 1.5) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.04% ( -1.87) | 49.95% ( 1.86) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 96.11% ( -0.35) | 3.88% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 83.5% ( -1.15) | 16.5% ( 1.15) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 34.67% ( 0.29) | 65.32% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 6.86% ( 0.12) | 93.14% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | University College Dublin |
| 3-0 @ 14.49% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 13.38% ( 0.43)4-0 @ 11.77% ( -0.29)1-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.49)5-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.42)3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.09)2-1 @ 5.7% ( 0.24)4-1 @ 5.01% ( -0.07)6-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.35)5-1 @ 3.26% ( -0.14)7-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.22)6-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 1.31% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 4.23% Total : 90.1% | 1-1 @ 3.51% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.2% Total : 7.46% | 0-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.35% Total : 2.43% |
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