SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 51.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Dundalk |
51.55% ( -0) | 26.46% ( 0) | 22% |
| Both teams to score 44.54% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.35% ( -0) | 58.65% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.81% ( -0) | 79.2% ( 0) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.11% ( -0) | 22.89% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.36% ( -0) | 56.65% ( 0) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.76% ( -0) | 42.24% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.36% ( -0) | 78.64% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 14.25% 2-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.17% 3-1 @ 4.45% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.92% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.65% Total : 51.53% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 9.67% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.9% Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.45% | 0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.3% 0-2 @ 3.59% 1-3 @ 1.52% 2-3 @ 1.12% 0-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.1% Total : 22% |
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