SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 83.18%. A draw had a probability of 12.2% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 4.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.59%) and 1-0 (11.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.62%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (2.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | University College Dublin |
83.18% ( 0.73) | 12.16% ( -0.31) | 4.65% ( -0.42) |
| Both teams to score 34.96% ( -1.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.75% ( -0.65) | 40.25% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.38% ( -0.67) | 62.62% ( 0.67) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.72% ( 0.02) | 7.27% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 73.65% ( 0.06) | 26.34% ( -0.06) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 37.71% ( -2.04) | 62.29% ( 2.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.22% ( -1) | 91.77% ( 1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Derry City | Draw | University College Dublin |
| 2-0 @ 15.56% ( 0.5) 3-0 @ 13.59% ( 0.45)1-0 @ 11.87% ( 0.36)4-0 @ 8.91% ( 0.3)2-1 @ 7.37% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.22)5-0 @ 4.67% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.14)5-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.07)6-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 1.52% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1% ( -0.11)6-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.82% Total : 83.17% | 1-1 @ 5.62% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.19)Other @ 0.26% Total : 12.16% | 0-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.18% Total : 4.66% |
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