SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 20.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.25%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | Drogheda United |
55.84% ( 1.83) | 23.66% ( -0.5) | 20.5% ( -1.33) |
| Both teams to score 50.45% ( -0.35) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.2% ( 0.48) | 49.8% ( -0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.2% ( 0.43) | 71.8% ( -0.43) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.33% ( 0.86) | 17.67% ( -0.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.7% ( 1.47) | 48.29% ( -1.47) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.28% ( -1.07) | 38.72% ( 1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.54% ( -1.04) | 75.46% ( 1.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 1-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.27% ( 0.36)2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.94% ( 0.37)3-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.19)3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.23)4-1 @ 2.44% ( 0.15)4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.54% Total : 55.83% | 1-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.23) 0-0 @ 6.84% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.66% | 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.32) 1-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.25)1-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.46% Total : 20.5% |
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