SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 23 | -5 | 31 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 24 | -13 | 26 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 24 | -26 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 24 | -13 | 26 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 24 | -26 | 12 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 24 | -34 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 52.83%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 23.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.72%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (6.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | University College Dublin |
52.83% ( 9.64) | 23.91% ( -2.51) | 23.26% ( -7.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.35% ( 2.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.22% ( 5.4) | 47.77% ( -5.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.03% ( 4.78) | 69.96% ( -4.79) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.96% ( 6.39) | 18.04% ( -6.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.07% ( 9.93) | 48.93% ( -9.93) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.1% ( -2.85) | 34.9% ( 2.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.36% ( -3.12) | 71.64% ( 3.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | University College Dublin |
| 1-0 @ 10.78% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.87)2-0 @ 9.23% ( 1.46)3-1 @ 5.55% ( 1.39)3-0 @ 5.27% ( 1.62)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.56)4-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.91)4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.97)4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.42)Other @ 3.47% Total : 52.83% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -1.21) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -1.54)2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 6.63% ( -2.28) 1-2 @ 5.97% ( -1.17)0-2 @ 3.49% ( -1.58)1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.61)2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.7)Other @ 2.05% Total : 23.26% |
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