SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 18 | -16 | 11 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 18 | -27 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Bohemians | 18 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 18 | -16 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a University College Dublin win with a probability of 39.63%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a University College Dublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 0-1 (9.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 39.63% | 27.11% | 33.25% |
| Both teams to score 50.2% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.89% | 55.1% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.64% | 76.36% |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.82% | 27.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.41% | 62.59% |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.94% | 31.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.62% | 67.37% |
| Score Analysis |
| University College Dublin | Draw | Drogheda United |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% 2-1 @ 8.38% 2-0 @ 7.16% 3-1 @ 3.64% 3-0 @ 3.11% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.03% Total : 39.63% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.44% 2-2 @ 4.9% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 9.87% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 2.25% 2-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 3% Total : 33.25% |
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