SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 22 | 22 | 48 |
| 2 | Dundalk | 20 | 14 | 38 |
| 3 | Derry City | 21 | 16 | 37 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 20 | -10 | 22 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 20 | -19 | 12 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 20 | -29 | 9 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 78.24%. A draw had a probability of 14.5% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 7.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.36%) and 1-0 (10.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | University College Dublin |
78.24% ( -0.02) | 14.45% ( 0.01) | 7.31% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.08% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.75% ( 0.03) | 39.25% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.42% ( 0.03) | 61.58% ( -0.03) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.85% ( 0) | 8.15% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.42% ( 0) | 28.58% ( -0) |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.9% ( 0.06) | 53.09% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.29% ( 0.04) | 86.71% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | University College Dublin |
| 2-0 @ 13.59% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 11.36% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 10.84% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.2% ( 0)4-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.51% ( 0)5-0 @ 3.57% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.28% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 2.26% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.49% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0)6-1 @ 0.95% ( 0)Other @ 3.01% Total : 78.22% | 1-1 @ 6.87% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.53% Total : 14.45% | 0-1 @ 2.74% ( 0) 1-2 @ 2.17% ( 0)Other @ 2.4% Total : 7.31% |
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