SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 21 | -9 | 25 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 21 | -13 | 22 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 21 | -20 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 23 | 23 | 51 |
| 2 | Dundalk | 21 | 17 | 41 |
| 3 | Derry City | 22 | 17 | 40 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 17.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.43%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Drogheda United | Draw | Dundalk |
17.08% ( 0.63) | 25.14% ( 0.49) | 57.78% ( -1.12) |
| Both teams to score 40.98% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.52% ( -0.8) | 59.48% ( 0.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.16% ( -0.62) | 79.84% ( 0.62) |
| Drogheda United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.63% ( 0.34) | 48.37% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.5% ( 0.25) | 83.5% ( -0.24) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.37% ( -0.75) | 20.63% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.81% ( -1.21) | 53.19% ( 1.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Drogheda United | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.29) 2-1 @ 4.15% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.04% Total : 17.08% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.45% Total : 25.13% | 0-1 @ 15.75% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 12.43% ( -0.2)1-2 @ 9.03% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 6.54% ( -0.27)1-3 @ 4.75% ( -0.15)0-4 @ 2.58% ( -0.17)1-4 @ 1.88% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.1% Total : 57.78% |
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