Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 37.82%. A win for University College Dublin had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest University College Dublin win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Drogheda United would win this match.
