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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 17
May 26, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Hunky Dorys Park
UC

Drogheda
3 - 1
UCD

Draper (42', 45'), Grimes (67')
Keeley (71')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Wells (19')
Doyle (30'), Keaney (42')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Drogheda United and University College Dublin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shamrock 1-2 Drogheda
Friday, May 19 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 4-1 UCD
Friday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Drogheda United win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 17.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Drogheda United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 0-1 (6.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Drogheda United would win this match.

Result
Drogheda UnitedDrawUniversity College Dublin
59.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 23.13% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 17.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.5% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.63% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)51.38% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.81% (-0.02 -0.02)73.19% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Drogheda United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.95% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)17.06% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.78% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)47.23% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
University College Dublin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.26% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)42.74% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.93% (-0.004999999999999 -0)79.07% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Drogheda United 59.14%
    University College Dublin 17.74%
    Draw 23.13%
Drogheda UnitedDrawUniversity College Dublin
1-0 @ 12.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.4%
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 6.72% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.43% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.05% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 59.14%
1-1 @ 10.96% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.29% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.13%
0-1 @ 6.2% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 4.66%
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.32%
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 17.74%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Shamrock 1-2 Drogheda
Friday, May 19 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 3-0 Drogheda
Friday, May 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 0-1 Derry
Friday, May 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 1-1 Shelbourne
Monday, May 1 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 3-2 Drogheda
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 0-2 Bohemians
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 4-1 UCD
Friday, May 19 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 0-3 Shamrock
Friday, May 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-0 UCD
Friday, May 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 0-2 Dundalk
Monday, May 1 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: UCD 1-1 Bohemians
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Sligo 3-1 UCD
Saturday, April 22 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier


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