SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
37.44% ( -0.22) | 27.41% ( 0.04) | 35.16% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 49.58% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.98% ( -0.15) | 56.02% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.89% ( -0.13) | 77.11% ( 0.12) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.12% ( -0.21) | 28.88% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.25% ( -0.25) | 64.75% ( 0.25) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.72% ( 0.04) | 30.28% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.54% ( 0.05) | 66.46% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.75% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.34% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.61% Total : 37.43% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.4% | 0-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.24% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.09% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 35.15% |
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