SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 60.57%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 16.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.4%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Galway United | Draw | Dundalk |
60.57% ( 0.34) | 23.34% ( -0.07) | 16.09% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 43.8% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.38% ( -0.13) | 54.62% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.04% ( -0.11) | 75.96% ( 0.11) |
| Galway United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.28% ( 0.07) | 17.72% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.62% ( 0.13) | 48.38% ( -0.13) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.23% ( -0.43) | 46.76% ( 0.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.69% ( -0.33) | 82.31% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Galway United | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 14.33% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 12.4% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 7.16% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.44% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.21% Total : 60.56% | 1-1 @ 10.89% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.57% Total : 23.33% | 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.3% Total : 16.09% |
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