Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 61.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 16.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
Result | ||
St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Drogheda United |
61.26% ( 0.08) | 22.19% ( -0.01) | 16.54% ( -0.08) |
Both teams to score 47.95% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.47% ( -0.08) | 49.52% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.44% ( -0.07) | 71.55% ( 0.06) |
St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.31% ( 0) | 15.69% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.25% ( 0.01) | 44.75% ( -0.01) |
Drogheda United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.88% ( -0.14) | 43.12% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.61% ( -0.12) | 79.39% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Drogheda United |
1-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 11.6% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.03% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.09% Total : 61.25% | 1-1 @ 10.54% 0-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.78% Total : 22.19% | 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.63% Total : 16.54% |
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