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League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 15
May 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Richmond Park
DU

St Patrick's
3 - 0
Drogheda

McClelland (82'), Forrester (90', 90+2')
Grivosti (52')
FT(HT: 0-0)

McNally (30'), Heeney (67')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Drogheda United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cork City 2-3 St Patrick's
Friday, May 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 0-1 Derry
Friday, May 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 61.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 16.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.6%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.

Result
St Patrick's AthleticDrawDrogheda United
61.26% (0.083999999999996 0.08) 22.19% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01) 16.54% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 47.95% (-0.115 -0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.47% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)49.52% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.44% (-0.067 -0.07)71.55% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.31% (0.00099999999999056 0)15.69% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.25% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)44.75% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Drogheda United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.88% (-0.14 -0.14)43.12% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.61% (-0.119 -0.12)79.39% (0.114 0.11)
Score Analysis
    St Patrick's Athletic 61.25%
    Drogheda United 16.54%
    Draw 22.19%
St Patrick's AthleticDrawDrogheda United
1-0 @ 12.53% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-0 @ 11.6% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 7.17% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.03% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.32% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.23% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 61.25%
1-1 @ 10.54%
0-0 @ 6.77% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 22.19%
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 4.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 16.54%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cork City 2-3 St Patrick's
Friday, May 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 0-1 Sligo
Monday, May 1 at 3pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Derry 2-0 St Patrick's
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: St Patrick's 0-2 Shamrock
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Bohemians 2-3 St Patrick's
Friday, April 14 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 1-3 St Patrick's
Monday, April 10 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 0-1 Derry
Friday, May 5 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 1-1 Shelbourne
Monday, May 1 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Dundalk 3-2 Drogheda
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 0-2 Bohemians
Friday, April 21 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Sligo 1-1 Drogheda
Saturday, April 15 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Drogheda 1-3 St Patrick's
Monday, April 10 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier


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