Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 58.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 18.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.35%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.17%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shamrock Rovers in this match.
