SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Dundalk | 16 | 11 | 28 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 17 | 6 | 25 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 17 | 2 | 22 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 17 | 20 | 39 |
| 2 | Derry City | 17 | 16 | 32 |
| 3 | Dundalk | 16 | 11 | 28 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 41.52%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 (9.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 30.99% | 27.49% | 41.52% |
| Both teams to score 48.38% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.91% | 57.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.03% | 77.97% |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.35% | 33.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.69% | 70.31% |
| Shamrock Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% | 27.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.54% | 62.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Shamrock Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 7.06% 2-0 @ 5.4% 3-1 @ 2.56% 3-0 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.4% Total : 30.99% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 9.11% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 11.9% 1-2 @ 8.47% 0-2 @ 7.78% 1-3 @ 3.69% 0-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 2.01% 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.98% Total : 41.52% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
