League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 19

Aug 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Tolka Park

Shelbourne
0 - 1
Derry

McManus (52'), Boyd (90+4'), Kane (90+5')
Boyd (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Graydon (90+1')
Diallo (35'), Dummigan (53')

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Shelbourne and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match.

Result
Shelbourne	Draw	Derry City
28.99% ( 0.11)	27.95% ( 0.15)	43.06% ( -0.27)

Both teams to score 46.18% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.56% (

-0.48)

59.44% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.19% (

-0.37)

79.81% (

0.37)

Shelbourne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.57% (

-0.17)

36.42% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.79% (

-0.17)

73.21% (

0.17)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.64% (

-0.37)

27.36% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.18% (

-0.48)

62.81% (

0.47)

Score Analysis

Shelbourne 28.98%

Derry City 43.05%

Draw 27.95%

Shelbourne	Draw	Derry City
1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.89% Total : 28.98%	1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.95%	0-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 43.05%