SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Bohemians | 26 | 0 | 33 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 25 | -7 | 32 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 28 | -14 | 31 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Dundalk | 27 | 17 | 49 |
| 3 | Derry City | 26 | 18 | 46 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 26 | 13 | 42 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.37%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | Derry City |
28.99% ( 0.11) | 27.95% ( 0.15) | 43.06% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 46.18% ( -0.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.56% ( -0.48) | 59.44% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.19% ( -0.37) | 79.81% ( 0.37) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.57% ( -0.17) | 36.42% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.79% ( -0.17) | 73.21% ( 0.17) |
| Derry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.64% ( -0.37) | 27.36% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.18% ( -0.48) | 62.81% ( 0.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | Derry City |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.44% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.89% Total : 28.98% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.18)2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.95% | 0-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.65% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.85% Total : 43.05% |
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