SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Derry City | 27 | 19 | 49 |
| 3 | Dundalk | 28 | 15 | 49 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 27 | 15 | 45 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Bohemians | 27 | -2 | 33 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 26 | -8 | 32 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 28 | -14 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 59.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Shelbourne had a probability of 16.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Shelbourne win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundalk | Draw | Shelbourne |
59.56% ( -0.36) | 23.79% ( 0.12) | 16.65% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 43.65% ( 0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.56% ( -0.05) | 55.43% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.37% ( -0.04) | 76.63% ( 0.04) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.61% ( -0.15) | 18.38% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.48% ( -0.26) | 49.52% ( 0.26) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.49% ( 0.3) | 46.51% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.88% ( 0.22) | 82.11% ( -0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundalk | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 14.48% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 12.26% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 2.24% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 3% Total : 59.55% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.56% Total : 23.79% | 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.35% Total : 16.65% |
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