SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 19 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 19 | 2 | 25 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 19 | 2 | 25 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 18 | -6 | 24 |
| 7 | Bohemians | 18 | 0 | 23 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 30.06% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.1%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Shelbourne |
40.91% ( -0.49) | 29.03% ( 0.54) | 30.06% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 43.78% ( -1.46) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.32% ( -1.8) | 62.68% ( 1.8) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.76% ( -1.33) | 82.23% ( 1.33) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.88% ( -1.17) | 30.12% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.74% ( -1.43) | 66.26% ( 1.42) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.65% ( -1.02) | 37.35% ( 1.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.86% ( -1.02) | 74.14% ( 1.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Shelbourne |
| 1-0 @ 13.5% ( 0.47) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.21)3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.19% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.4% Total : 40.91% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.74)2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.21)Other @ 0.56% Total : 29.02% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.42) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.75% Total : 30.05% |
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