SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Dundalk | 28 | 15 | 49 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 27 | 15 | 45 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 27 | 6 | 38 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 28 | -14 | 31 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 27 | -23 | 18 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 27 | -34 | 16 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Finn Harps had a probability of 19.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Finn Harps win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Finn Harps |
55.95% ( -0.01) | 24.25% ( 0) | 19.79% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 47.64% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47% ( -0.03) | 53% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.41% ( -0.02) | 74.59% ( 0.02) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.18% ( -0.01) | 18.82% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.75% ( -0.02) | 50.25% ( 0.02) |
| Finn Harps Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.68% ( -0.02) | 41.32% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.16% ( -0.02) | 77.83% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Finn Harps |
| 1-0 @ 12.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.84% 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.04% 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.52% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.36% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 3.06% Total : 55.94% | 1-1 @ 11.47% 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0)Other @ 0.76% Total : 24.24% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.07% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.04% 1-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 2.07% Total : 19.79% |
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