SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Bohemians | 25 | 0 | 32 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 24 | -7 | 31 |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 27 | -14 | 30 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 25 | 5 | 35 |
| 6 | Bohemians | 25 | 0 | 32 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | 24 | -7 | 31 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 36.79%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.78%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 0-1 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Shelbourne | Draw | Bohemians |
36.79% ( -0.13) | 28.23% ( -0.01) | 34.97% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 47.07% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.86% ( 0.05) | 59.13% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.43% ( 0.04) | 79.57% ( -0.04) |
| Shelbourne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.19% ( -0.06) | 30.81% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.91% ( -0.06) | 67.08% ( 0.06) |
| Bohemians Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.03% ( 0.12) | 31.96% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.58% ( 0.13) | 68.42% ( -0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shelbourne | Draw | Bohemians |
| 1-0 @ 11.59% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.68% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.74% Other @ 3.11% Total : 36.78% | 1-1 @ 13.22% 0-0 @ 9.85% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.23% | 0-1 @ 11.23% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.54% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 34.97% |
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