Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 66.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Longford Town had a probability of 12.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.28%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Longford Town win it was 0-1 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sligo Rovers in this match.