SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 46.7%. A win for Galway United had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Galway United win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Galway United |
46.7% ( -0.01) | 26.35% ( 0.01) | 26.94% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 49.46% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.37% ( -0.02) | 54.62% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.04% ( -0.01) | 75.96% ( 0.01) |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( -0.01) | 23.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.66% ( -0.02) | 57.34% ( 0.02) |
| Galway United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.54% ( -0) | 35.46% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.77% ( -0) | 72.22% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Patrick's Athletic | Draw | Galway United |
| 1-0 @ 12.04% 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.76% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 46.7% | 1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0)Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 8.59% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.48% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.45% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 1.63% 0-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.02% Total : 26.95% |
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