SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Drogheda United | 18 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 | Finn Harps | 18 | -16 | 11 |
| 10 | University College Dublin | 18 | -27 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Derry City | 19 | 15 | 33 |
| 4 | St Patrick's Athletic | 19 | 8 | 28 |
| 5 | Sligo Rovers | 19 | 2 | 25 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 49.42%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 1-2 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (8.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| University College Dublin | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 24.18% | 26.39% | 49.42% |
| Both teams to score 47% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.35% | 56.65% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.39% | 77.61% |
| University College Dublin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.02% | 38.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.3% | 75.7% |
| St Patrick's Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% | 22.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.21% | 56.79% |
| Score Analysis |
| University College Dublin | Draw | St Patrick's Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.44% 2-1 @ 5.85% 2-0 @ 3.98% 3-1 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.35% 3-0 @ 1.25% Other @ 1.48% Total : 24.18% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 8.96% 2-2 @ 4.3% Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 13.17% 0-2 @ 9.68% 1-2 @ 9.12% 0-3 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 4.47% 2-3 @ 2.11% 0-4 @ 1.74% 1-4 @ 1.64% Other @ 2.74% Total : 49.42% |
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