Although Exeter may feel encouraged that Birmingham have not always been convincing of late, we can only see one winner here. The dominant victory over Wigan should stand Blues in good stead and lead to another comfortable win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 68.71%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Exeter City had a probability of 12.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Exeter City win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
0.35) 
-0.22) 
