Plymouth Argyle will certainly be focussed on earning another victory to boost their playoff claim, but they face a particularly tough test, and we do not see them returning to the south coast with all three points.
Instead, we expect two strong sides to cancel one another out in Lancashire and share the spoils.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.73%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
