Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 48.85%. A win for Peterborough United had a probability of 25.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Peterborough United win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Peterborough United
48.85% ( 0)	25.31% ( -0)	25.83% ( -0)

Both teams to score 51.64% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.67%

51.33% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.84%

73.15% (

-0)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.97% (

-0)

21.02% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.18% (

53.81% (

-0)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.39% (

-0)

34.61% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.67% (

-0)

71.33% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Derby County 48.85%

Peterborough United 25.83%

Draw 25.31%

Derby County	Draw	Peterborough United
1-0 @ 11.34% 2-1 @ 9.39% 2-0 @ 8.85% 3-1 @ 4.88% 3-0 @ 4.6% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.9% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.5% Total : 48.85%	1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 7.28% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.98% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.31%	0-1 @ 7.72% 1-2 @ 6.39% 0-2 @ 4.1% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.76% 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.15% Total : 25.83%