SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 77.22%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 8.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.65%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 1-2 (2.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Manchester United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
77.22% ( 0.59) | 14.22% ( -0.15) | 8.56% ( -0.44) |
| Both teams to score 50.56% ( -1.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.93% ( -0.85) | 33.07% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.19% ( -0.99) | 54.8% ( 0.99) |
| Manchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.02% ( -0.07) | 6.97% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.46% ( -0.19) | 25.54% ( 0.19) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.35% ( -1.58) | 45.65% ( 1.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.55% ( -1.27) | 81.45% ( 1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Manchester United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
| 2-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.42) 3-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.33)2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.05)1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 5.23% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 3.55% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.17)5-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.12)6-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)6-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)5-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.44% Total : 77.21% | 1-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.14)Other @ 0.92% Total : 14.22% | 1-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.12) 0-1 @ 2.5% ( 0)0-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.57% Total : 8.56% |
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