Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 38.3%. A win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 (9.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.04) 
