Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 44.02%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
-0.2) 
0.45) 
