Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 72.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 9.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.64%) and 3-0 (10.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Ipswich Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
72.6% ( 0.14) | 17.66% ( -0.23) | 9.75% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 42.91% ( 1.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.31% ( 1.24) | 45.69% ( -1.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.99% ( 1.17) | 68.01% ( -1.17) |
Ipswich Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.85% ( 0.38) | 11.15% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.39% ( 0.83) | 35.62% ( -0.83) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.3% ( 0.98) | 51.7% ( -0.98) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.19% ( 0.63) | 85.81% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Ipswich Town | Draw | Cambridge United |
2-0 @ 13.87% ( -0.3) 1-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.48) 3-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.67% ( 0.14) 5-0 @ 2.44% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.11) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.39% Total : 72.58% | 1-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.31) 2-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.53% Total : 17.66% | 0-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 9.75% |
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