Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ipswich Town win with a probability of 53.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 20.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ipswich Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.69%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ipswich Town would win this match.
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