Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 54.06%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
0.06) 
-0.1) 
