SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 54.06%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 23.41% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (8.45%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 2-1 (6.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Burton Albion | Draw | Mansfield Town |
23.41% ( 0.06) | 22.53% ( 0.04) | 54.06% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 58.12% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.45% ( -0.1) | 41.54% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.05% ( -0.1) | 63.94% ( 0.1) |
| Burton Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.65% ( -0) | 31.35% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.29% ( -0.01) | 67.71% ( 0) |
| Mansfield Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.66% ( -0.07) | 15.34% ( 0.07) |
