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League One | Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
St James Park
FT

Exeter
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Stansfield (30'), Nombe (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mendes Gomes (28')
Hayes (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Exeter City 0-2 Fleetwood Town

Fleetwood have only scored 11 times this season, which is the second-fewest in the division. However, they are coming up against an Exeter side that are shipping goals left and right at the moment, and this is the perfect opportunity for them to get back to winning ways in the league. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 22.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (6.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawFleetwood Town
53.13% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 24.17%22.69% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 51.85% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.56% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)49.44% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.52% (-0.004999999999999 -0)71.48% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.2% (0.0020000000000024 0)49.8% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.65% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)36.35% (0.011999999999993 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.87% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)73.13% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 53.12%
    Fleetwood Town 22.69%
    Draw 24.17%
Exeter CityDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 11.35%
2-1 @ 9.68%
2-0 @ 9.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.44%
3-0 @ 5.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 2.29%
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 53.12%
1-1 @ 11.49%
0-0 @ 6.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.17%
0-1 @ 6.82%
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 22.69%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Forest Green 4-1 Exeter
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Exeter 2-4 Oxford Utd
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 4-2 Exeter
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-2 Exeter
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Saints U21s
Tuesday, October 4 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Exeter 2-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-2 Man Utd U21s (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 18 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Fleetwood
Tuesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-1 Barnsley
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Fleetwood
Tuesday, September 20 at 7pm in EFL Trophy


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