With 10 games to the end of the season, both sides find themselves at opposite ends of the league standings, with Northampton Town being the superior side. Looking at the gulf in class and quality between the two sides and the recent history of this fixture, we are tipping the Cobblers to come away with all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Northampton Town
29.59%	27.98%	42.43%

Both teams to score 46.38%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.67%

59.33%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.28%

79.73%

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.1%

35.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.33%

72.68%

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.36%

27.64%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.82%

63.19%

Score Analysis

Stevenage 29.58%

Northampton Town 42.42%

Draw 27.98%

Stevenage	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 6.7% 2-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 2.29% 3-0 @ 1.78% 3-2 @ 1.47% Other @ 1.98% Total : 29.58%	1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.98%	0-1 @ 12.75% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-2 @ 8.2% 1-3 @ 3.6% 0-3 @ 3.52% 2-3 @ 1.85% 1-4 @ 1.16% 0-4 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.81% Total : 42.42%