Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 31.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.79%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
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