Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 55.84%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 21.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.
