Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 49.55%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 26.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.84%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
0.3) 
-0.09) 
