Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 56.26%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 18.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.49%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (7.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
Barrow	Draw	Newport County
56.26% ( 0.04)	24.89% ( -0.02)	18.85% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 44.48% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.56% (

0.03)

56.44% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.55% (

0.03)

77.44% (

-0.03)

Barrow Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.98% (

0.03)

20.02% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.77% (

0.05)

52.23% (

-0.05)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.61% (

-0.01)

44.39% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.56% (

-0.01)

80.44% (

Score Analysis

Barrow 56.25%

Newport County 18.85%

Draw 24.89%

Barrow	Draw	Newport County
1-0 @ 14.29% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0) Other @ 3.45% Total : 56.25%	1-1 @ 11.61% 0-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.79% Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.89%	0-1 @ 7.22% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.72% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.68% Total : 18.85%