SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 44.41%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%).
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | MK Dons |
30.45% ( 0.62) | 25.15% ( 0.13) | 44.41% ( -0.74) |
| Both teams to score 55.43% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.11% ( -0.25) | 47.89% ( 0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.93% ( -0.23) | 70.07% ( 0.23) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.68% ( 0.3) | 29.32% ( -0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.7% ( 0.37) | 65.3% ( -0.36) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.43% ( -0.44) | 21.57% ( 0.44) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.34% ( -0.68) | 54.66% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 7.76% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 7.3% ( 0.1)2-0 @ 4.76% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.45% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.14% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.13% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.1)0-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.12)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.06)0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.06)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.46% Total : 44.41% |
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