SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Chesterfield |
28.85% ( -0.01) | 24.46% | 46.69% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 56.79% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.31% ( 0.01) | 45.68% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.99% ( 0.01) | 68% ( -0.01) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.69% ( 0) | 29.31% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.71% ( 0) | 65.28% ( 0) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.33% ( 0.01) | 19.67% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 48.35% ( 0.01) | 51.65% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 7.07% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.06% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.34% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.35% 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0)Other @ 3.37% Total : 28.85% | 1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.62% ( 0)1-3 @ 5.07% ( 0)0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0)2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0)Other @ 3.02% Total : 46.69% |
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