Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.36%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Chesterfield
28.85% ( -0.01)	24.46%	46.69% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.79% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.31% (

0.01)

45.68% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.99% (

0.01)

68% (

-0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.69% (

29.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.71% (

65.28% (

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.33% (

0.01)

19.67% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.35% (

0.01)

51.65% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 28.85%

Chesterfield 46.69%

Draw 24.45%

Carlisle United	Draw	Chesterfield
1-0 @ 7.07% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.06% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.35% 3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0) Other @ 3.37% Total : 28.85%	1-1 @ 11.5% 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.74% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.45%	0-1 @ 9.38% ( -0) 1-2 @ 9.36% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.62% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.07% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.13% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.06% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 3.02% Total : 46.69%