Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
