SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 68.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 12.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.06%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for a Newport County win it was 0-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Newport County |
68.05% ( -0.56) | 19.79% ( 0.43) | 12.16% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 44.37% ( -0.95) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.62% ( -1.51) | 48.38% ( 1.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.48% ( -1.4) | 70.52% ( 1.4) |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.79% ( -0.62) | 13.2% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.06% ( -1.27) | 39.94% ( 1.26) |
| Newport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.12% ( -0.73) | 48.88% ( 0.73) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.13% ( -0.53) | 83.87% ( 0.53) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | Newport County |
| 2-0 @ 13.22% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 13.06% ( 0.5)2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.39% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 3.23% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.1)5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.1)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.62% Total : 68.03% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.6% Total : 19.8% | 0-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 3.35% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.54% Total : 12.16% |
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