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League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
CU

Gillingham
0 - 1
Colchester


Ehmer (45+2'), Tutonda (68'), Kashket (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Tchamadeu (26')
Tovide (45+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Gillingham 0-0 Colchester United

These sides are where they are for a reason, because neither possesses a ton of depth nor quality in the attacking third, and we anticipate a passive affair on Boxing Day between a pair of clubs that might be too afraid to come away empty-handed, given how tight the relegation standings are at the moment. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 44.5%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Colchester United had a probability of 27.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Colchester United win it was 0-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
GillinghamDrawColchester United
44.5% (-0.178 -0.18) 28% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 27.49% (0.194 0.19)
Both teams to score 45.22% (0.162 0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.76% (0.145 0.15)60.24% (-0.144 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.58% (0.109 0.11)80.42% (-0.11 -0.11)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.03% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)26.97% (0.026 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.68% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)62.31% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.93% (0.242 0.24)38.07% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.16% (0.234 0.23)74.84% (-0.233 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 44.5%
    Colchester United 27.49%
    Draw 27.99%
GillinghamDrawColchester United
1-0 @ 13.45% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 8.82% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
2-1 @ 8.51% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 3.85% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 44.5%
1-1 @ 12.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 10.26% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-2 @ 4.11% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 27.99%
0-1 @ 9.92% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.27% (0.044 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.79% (0.037 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.54% (0.022 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.32% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.63%
Total : 27.49%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wolves 2-0 Gillingham
Tuesday, December 20 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Gillingham 3-2 Dag & Red
Thursday, December 8 at 7.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Gillingham 0-3 Salford City
Saturday, December 3 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Dag & Red 1-1 Gillingham
Saturday, November 26 at 5pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Crawley 0-0 Gillingham
Tuesday, November 22 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-0 Gillingham
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Sutton 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-1 Colchester
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 1-2 Bristol Rovers
Wednesday, November 23 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Colchester 3-0 Doncaster
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Colchester
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 2-0 Colchester
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup


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