SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 56.11%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 21.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Gillingham win it was 2-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Leicester City |
21.73% ( -0.13) | 22.15% ( -0.07) | 56.11% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 57.16% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.22% ( 0.15) | 41.78% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.82% ( 0.15) | 64.18% ( -0.15) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.04% ( -0.03) | 32.96% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.46% ( -0.04) | 69.54% ( 0.04) |
| Leicester City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.26% ( 0.12) | 14.74% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.03% ( 0.22) | 42.97% ( -0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Leicester City |
| 2-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 2.99% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 21.73% | 1-1 @ 10.32% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.3% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.15% | 1-2 @ 9.88% ( 0) 0-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.9% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 6.31% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 5.68% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.5% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.02% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2.72% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 56.11% |
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