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League Two | Gameweek 22
Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
M

Carlisle
vs.
Morecambe

 

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Carlisle
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 0-2 Bromley
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two

We say: Carlisle United 0-1 Morecambe

Despite their recent struggles, Morecambe have looked much more cohesive and decisive away from home, and we believe they can frustrate a side that have been dismal in front of their supporters all season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.68%. A win for Morecambe has a probability of 36.67% and a draw has a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win is 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Morecambe win is 0-1 (9.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.67%).

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawMorecambe
36.68% (-0.707 -0.71) 26.65% (0.117 0.12) 36.67% (0.588 0.59)
Both teams to score 52.05% (-0.376 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.06% (-0.481 -0.48)52.94% (0.476 0.48)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.46% (-0.411 -0.41)74.54% (0.40900000000001 0.41)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.15% (-0.642 -0.64)27.85% (0.639 0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.55% (-0.82700000000001 -0.83)63.45% (0.824 0.82)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.14% (0.117 0.12)27.85% (-0.12 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.54% (0.15 0.15)63.46% (-0.153 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 36.68%
    Morecambe 36.67%
    Draw 26.65%
Carlisle UnitedDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 9.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.1% (-0.112 -0.11)
2-0 @ 6.34% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.45% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.063 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.68%
1-1 @ 12.67% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 7.76% (0.145 0.15)
2-2 @ 5.18% (-0.054 -0.05)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.65%
0-1 @ 9.91% (0.218 0.22)
1-2 @ 8.1% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.34% (0.16 0.16)
1-3 @ 3.45% (0.038 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.7% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 36.67%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Carlisle
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Chesterfield
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, November 30 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Doncaster
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bromley 1-1 Carlisle
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-2 Carlisle
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Morecambe 0-2 Bromley
Saturday, December 21 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Morecambe
Saturday, December 14 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, December 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Morecambe 0-3 Grimsby Town
Saturday, December 7 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 2-2 Morecambe
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Bradford
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in FA Cup


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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