Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
0.47) 
-0.58) 
