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BR
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Memorial Stadium
R

Bristol Rovers
1 - 0
Rochdale

Sinclair (65')
Gibbons (69')
FT(HT: 0-0)

John (14'), Odoh (63')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 4-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Walsall 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Bristol Rovers 3-1 Rochdale

The League One side should have enough quality to beat Rochdale, especially if Aaron Collins starts the game. Rochdale will be hoping they can keep things tight and cause an upset in this fixture, but we expect them to fall short. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 52.67%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 24.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.54%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol Rovers would win this match.

Result
Bristol RoversDrawRochdale
52.67% (0.098999999999997 0.1) 23.18% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 24.14% (-0.084 -0.08)
Both teams to score 56.78% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.27% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)43.73% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)66.12% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Bristol Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.39% (0.033000000000001 0.03)16.6% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.58% (0.061 0.06)46.42% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.08% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)31.92% (0.071999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.63% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)68.37% (0.080999999999989 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bristol Rovers 52.67%
    Rochdale 24.14%
    Draw 23.18%
Bristol RoversDrawRochdale
2-1 @ 9.76% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.013 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.54% (0.020999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.84% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.11% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.33% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.62% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.3% (0.011 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 52.67%
1-1 @ 10.86% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.57% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.18%
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.05% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.46% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 24.14%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Derby 4-2 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-1 Bristol Rovers
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-2 Plymouth
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 3-0 Swindon
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-4 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, October 11 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Walsall 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-1 Rochdale
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 2-2 Salford City (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Rochdale 2-1 Barrow
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Newport 0-1 Rochdale
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two


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