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League Two | Gameweek 8
Nov 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
SC

Rochdale
1 - 0
Salford City

Henderson (80')
Odoh (61')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Galbraith (61')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Rochdale 1-2 Salford City

Rochdale will be looking to get one over Salford City following their penalty shootout defeat in October's EFL Trophy clash. However, the Dale have suffered a drop-off in recent weeks, losing four of their last five outings. We predict that Salford will maintain their fine away form and come away with a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 36.77%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rochdale in this match.

Result
RochdaleDrawSalford City
36.77% (2.28 2.28) 27.12% (0.236 0.24) 36.11% (-2.517 -2.52)
Both teams to score 50.52% (-0.617 -0.62)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.13% (-0.838 -0.84)54.86% (0.838 0.84)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.84% (-0.698 -0.7)76.16% (0.697 0.7)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.27% (0.99499999999999 0.99)28.72% (-0.996 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.44% (1.224 1.22)64.55% (-1.225 -1.22)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87% (-1.881 -1.88)29.12% (1.88 1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.95% (-2.383 -2.38)65.05% (2.381 2.38)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 36.76%
    Salford City 36.1%
    Draw 27.12%
RochdaleDrawSalford City
1-0 @ 10.43% (0.607 0.61)
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.279 0.28)
2-0 @ 6.51% (0.548 0.55)
3-1 @ 3.34% (0.204 0.2)
3-0 @ 2.71% (0.295 0.3)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.04% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 36.76%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 8.36% (0.269 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.95% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 10.31% (-0.21 -0.21)
1-2 @ 7.94% (-0.365 -0.36)
0-2 @ 6.37% (-0.48 -0.48)
1-3 @ 3.27% (-0.335 -0.34)
0-3 @ 2.62% (-0.349 -0.35)
2-3 @ 2.04% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.164 -0.16)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 36.1%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Walsall 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Tranmere 1-1 Rochdale
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 2-2 Salford City (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Rochdale 2-1 Barrow
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Peterborough 0-0 Salford City
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-0 Salford City
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-2 Salford City
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Stockport
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 2-2 Salford City (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 0-1 Bradford
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in League Two


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