SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 56.16%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 22.03% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.72%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 1-2 (5.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swindon Town | Draw | Gillingham |
56.16% ( -1.91) | 21.81% ( 0.38) | 22.03% ( 1.52) |
| Both teams to score 58.77% ( 1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.15% ( 0.25) | 39.84% ( -0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.8% ( 0.26) | 62.2% ( -0.26) |
| Swindon Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.92% ( -0.51) | 14.07% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.32% ( -1) | 41.67% ( 1) |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.4% ( 1.56) | 31.6% ( -1.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.99% ( 1.76) | 68% ( -1.76) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swindon Town | Draw | Gillingham |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 8.72% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 8.55% ( -0.43)3-1 @ 6.44% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.39)3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.25)4-2 @ 1.82% 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.12)Other @ 3.28% Total : 56.16% | 1-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.21)0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.81% | 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.31) 0-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.21)1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.21)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.17)0-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.63% Total : 22.03% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
