Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 28.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Grimsby Town
46.24% ( -0.25)	25.3% ( -0.35)	28.45% ( 0.61)

Both teams to score 53.71% (

1.52)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.41% (

1.79)

49.59% (

-1.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.39% (

1.58)

71.61% (

-1.58)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.55% (

0.63)

21.45% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.53% (

0.96)

54.47% (

-0.96)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.38% (

1.39)

31.62% (

-1.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.98% (

1.57)

68.02% (

-1.57)

Score Analysis

Newport County 46.24%

Grimsby Town 28.45%

Draw 25.3%

Newport County	Draw	Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.56) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.44% Total : 46.24%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 6.78% ( -0.51) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.22) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.27) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.16) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.45%